Here we are 5 days from Oscar night. All of the major awards leading up to Oscar Sunday have been handed out, which means we should be in pretty good shape to evaluate the trends and (hopefully!) see who is most likely to win.
This is definitely an interesting year for the awards. I feel confident in predicting that the Best Actor and Best Supporting Actress awards are locked up (by Daniel Day-Lewis and Anne Hathaway, respectively), but what about the other acting awards? And REALLY, what about best picture? Argo had been the clear front runner all awards season, but the snub of Ben Affleck in the Directing category throws a wrench in things. After all, the Best Picture winner and Best Director winner usually (but certainly not always) go hand in hand. In the last 10 years, the awards have been uncoupled twice, with Crash and Chicago (both had directors who were at least nominated for the top prize there).
I’ve tallied up the acting, directing and picture category from the BAFTAs, the Golden Globes, and the various Guilds (Producer’s, Actor’s and Director’s). Do you think all of the eventual Oscar winners are represented below? See any chance for an upset, or is this race un-upsetable? Leave a comment below!
- Argo: Golden Globe (Best Picture, Drama), BAFTA, Producer’s Guild, SAG
- Les Miserables: Golden Globe (Best Picture, Musical or Drama)
- Ben Affleck: Golden Globe, Director’s Guild
- Daniel Day Lewis: Golden Globe (Best Actor, Drama), SAG, BAFTA
- Hugh Jackman: Golden Globe (Best Actor, Comedy or Musical)
- Jennifer Lawrence: Golden Globe (Best Actress, Comedy or Musical), SAG
- Jessica Chastain: Golden Globe (Best Actress, Drama)
- Emmanuelle Riva: BAFTA
Best Supporting Actress:
- Anne Hathaway: Globes, SAG, BAFTA
Best Supporting Actor:
- Christoph Walz: Golden Globe, BAFTA
- Tommy Lee Jones: SAG